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Red55
356017.1
613517.0
403936.7
Blue40
316111.1
46178.8
491724.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694302060801001201405540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.5
30.730.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 12.3
24.50.9
22.421.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End12.0
Second
17.10.4
12.211.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
red by 6.0
11.10.9
8.27.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End4.3
Third
6135
#10
17.00.5
18.518.0
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.4
red by 8.2
4617
#16
8.80.8
13.112.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsMissed