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Red124
124141.0
403936.7
502417.4
Blue53
491724.5
356017.1
316111.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109482040608010012014016012453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
40.941.4
Auto15.6
Teleop22.4
End3.0
red by 16.5
24.50.0
24.724.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End12.0
Second
36.70.5
36.737.1
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 19.6
17.10.0
17.317.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.5
End6.1
Third
5024
#11
17.40.5
17.417.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End5.4
red by 6.3
11.10.0
11.311.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End4.3