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Red54
434321.6
77228.3
31619.4
Blue79
762313.6
88847.9
403939.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61563040507080905479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#5
28.30.2
28.528.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.1
End2.2
blue by 10.8
39.11.2
39.440.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Second
21.60.2
18.117.9
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End4.1
red by 8.0
13.62.0
10.112.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.5
Third
3161
#16
9.40.2
10.09.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.7
red by 1.5
8884
#13
7.91.3
3.54.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsMissed