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Red72
124140.6
403939.1
50369.2
Blue85
697816.1
540932.0
132539.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989160801201407285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.61.3
41.540.2
Auto13.9
Teleop24.3
End2.4
red by 1.1
39.50.6
38.237.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
Second
39.11.3
40.839.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.7
End7.0
red by 7.2
32.00.6
31.931.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End5.9
Third
5036
#18
9.21.3
8.67.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 6.9
16.10.6
16.415.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned