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Red52
137410.7
540932.0
31619.4
Blue107
434321.6
132539.5
78113.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52742040608010012052107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.2
31.331.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End5.9
blue by 7.6
39.52.7
37.540.2
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
Second
1374
#10
10.70.2
10.510.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 10.9
21.62.7
18.521.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End4.1
Third
3161
#16
9.40.2
9.69.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.7
blue by 3.9
781
#11
13.32.7
10.713.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsMissed47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed45%Hangar oddsEarned