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Red76
78113.3
403939.1
765912.9
Blue47
50369.2
132539.5
87658.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59544045506570757647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.9
36.737.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.7
End7.0
blue by 0.4
39.50.3
28.428.1
Auto11.5
Teleop18.7
End9.3
Second
781
#11
13.31.1
11.012.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End4.1
red by 4.1
5036
#18
9.20.3
11.110.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End3.1
Third
7659
#12
12.91.2
6.98.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 4.7
8765
#17
8.20.4
12.211.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed63%Hangar oddsMissed