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Red122
124140.6
540932.0
762313.6
Blue81
434321.6
77228.3
137410.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935820408010012012281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.6
39.740.3
Auto13.9
Teleop24.3
End2.4
red by 12.3
772
#5
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.1
End2.2
Second
32.00.6
31.031.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.2
End5.9
red by 10.4
21.60.4
21.221.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End4.1
Third
13.60.8
12.413.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.5
red by 2.9
1374
#10
10.70.4
10.310.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.6
End1.5