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Red138
111444.4
205661.6
415223.2
Blue99
368336.2
467844.1
61025.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411115010015020013899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.2
61.361.6
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
red by 17.5
44.10.4
44.944.6
Auto14.6
Teleop19.3
End10.2
Second
44.40.2
44.144.3
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
red by 8.2
3683
#15
36.20.4
37.036.6
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
Third
4152
#36
23.20.2
22.923.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
blue by 2.0
610
#38
25.20.4
26.025.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1