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Red127
111444.4
205661.6
415223.2
Blue95
497633.1
494630.1
491731.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142955020012795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.2
61.160.9
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
red by 28.6
4976
#23
33.10.1
33.133.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End9.7
Second
44.40.2
43.843.6
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
red by 12.5
4917
#18
31.90.1
31.931.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End12.6
Third
4152
#36
23.20.2
22.622.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
blue by 7.0
4946
#10
30.10.1
30.130.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.8
End11.6