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Red49
87313.1
111444.4
136018.0
Blue111
503231.6
872915.0
132541.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71902040608010012014016049111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.3
46.244.8
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
red by 3.0
1325
#13
41.41.4
40.842.2
Auto11.9
Teleop17.5
End11.9
Second
1360
#39
18.01.3
17.115.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 13.6
5032
#16
31.61.4
27.328.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End3.9
Third
8731
#63
3.11.3
5.74.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.5
blue by 11.8
8729
#31
15.01.4
13.815.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned