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Red78
136018.0
503231.6
434325.0
Blue121
219814.2
124145.3
78119.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7478010020030040078121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
31.60.5
28.729.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End3.9
blue by 13.7
1241
#11
45.31.9
43.845.7
Auto14.6
Teleop27.0
End3.6
Second
4343
#17
25.00.5
25.726.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 5.1
781
#6
19.91.9
16.618.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Third
1360
#39
18.00.5
15.816.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 3.8
2198
#19
14.21.9
12.013.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsEarned