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Red112
401515.2
447641.2
87359.2
Blue113
503112.1
205661.6
86524.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62103204080120140160112113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
41.21.4
40.842.2
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 20.4
61.60.2
57.457.2
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
Second
4015
#50
15.21.4
14.315.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.8
blue by 8.8
865
#32
24.00.2
21.921.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End10.5
Third
8735
#57
9.21.4
8.69.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 2.9
5031
#40
12.10.2
12.111.9
Auto6.0
Teleop2.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned