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Red60
503613.6
503231.6
75206.9
Blue43
495115.5
77579.4
137410.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060801001206043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#16
31.60.8
29.230.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End3.9
red by 16.1
4951
#25
15.50.6
14.314.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Second
5036
#45
13.60.8
11.912.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End5.4
red by 3.5
1374
#64
10.10.6
9.810.4
Auto5.3
Teleop1.7
End3.1
Third
7520
#30
6.90.8
6.77.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 2.5
7757
#47
9.40.6
9.910.5
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned