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Red90
491731.9
111444.4
401515.2
Blue50
37397.9
434325.0
238618.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104511509050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
44.544.4
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
red by 19.4
4343
#17
25.01.4
26.224.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
4917
#18
31.90.1
31.030.9
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End12.6
red by 13.9
2386
#21
18.01.4
19.418.0
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
Third
4015
#50
15.20.1
15.615.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.8
red by 7.3
3739
#61
7.91.4
8.87.4
Auto2.3
Teleop2.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned