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Red75
490738.4
687514.7
503231.6
Blue44
406925.1
35439.9
56729.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854220601001207544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.5
36.636.1
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
red by 13.3
4069
#35
25.10.3
23.222.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End10.4
Second
5032
#16
31.60.5
25.725.2
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End3.9
red by 21.7
3543
#66
9.90.3
9.99.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End2.6
Third
6875
#59
14.70.5
12.111.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 4.8
5672
#62
9.80.4
12.111.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed