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Red76
238618.0
35439.9
205661.6
Blue74
368336.2
87313.1
748032.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9167204060801001201401607674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.61.2
56.855.6
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
red by 25.4
3683
#15
36.20.0
35.735.7
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
Second
2386
#21
18.01.2
16.315.1
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
blue by 14.3
32.40.0
26.926.9
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End4.4
Third
3543
#66
9.91.2
9.68.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End2.6
red by 6.8
8731
#63
3.10.0
3.33.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned61%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsEarned