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Red96
86524.0
540643.6
77579.4
Blue42
434325.0
497633.1
687514.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080909642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.5
39.841.2
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End11.2
red by 10.5
4976
#23
33.11.6
31.229.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End9.7
Second
865
#32
24.01.5
15.617.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End10.5
blue by 1.0
4343
#17
25.01.6
22.520.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Third
7757
#47
9.41.5
10.712.1
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
blue by 5.3
6875
#59
14.71.6
11.610.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed