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Red45
495115.5
686511.2
503613.6
Blue71
111444.4
7715.3
78119.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2476040601001201404571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#25
15.51.2
9.010.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End4.9
blue by 28.9
44.40.1
42.342.2
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
Second
5036
#45
13.61.0
10.511.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End5.4
blue by 6.3
781
#6
19.90.1
14.814.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Third
6865
#53
11.21.0
9.910.9
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
red by 5.9
771
#43
5.30.1
7.57.4
Auto0.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned