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Red42
87359.2
356021.5
888414.3
Blue53
790215.6
77579.4
490738.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297402040601001201404253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3560
#46
21.50.3
17.417.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 17.0
38.40.7
36.135.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Second
8884
#55
14.30.3
9.49.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End3.1
blue by 1.3
7902
#29
15.60.7
15.614.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Third
8735
#57
9.20.3
6.16.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 0.3
7757
#47
9.40.7
12.111.4
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed