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Red70
686412.2
368336.2
540643.6
Blue70
495115.5
136018.0
447641.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95652040801201401607070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.6
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End11.2
red by 2.3
4476
#14
41.2
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End7.8
Second
3683
#15
36.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
red by 18.2
1360
#39
18.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
6864
#26
12.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End4.5
blue by 3.3
4951
#25
15.5
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsMissed