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Red108
205661.6
406925.1
61025.2
Blue52
77225.8
415223.2
7715.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11946010015010852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.4
56.356.7
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
red by 35.8
772
#65
25.80.8
25.024.2
Auto8.8
Teleop16.4
End0.6
Second
610
#38
25.20.4
22.723.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
red by 2.0
4152
#36
23.20.8
20.419.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
Third
4069
#35
25.10.4
23.023.4
Auto6.5
Teleop8.2
End10.4
red by 19.8
771
#43
5.30.8
6.86.0
Auto0.5
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed