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Red46
130520.9
497633.1
75206.9
Blue113
697813.8
205661.6
270619.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5396015046113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#23
33.11.1
31.830.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End9.7
blue by 28.6
61.61.4
54.355.7
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
Second
1305
#48
20.91.1
17.916.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.0
red by 1.9
2706
#20
19.01.4
14.716.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Third
7520
#30
6.91.1
5.44.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.6
blue by 6.8
6978
#58
13.81.4
15.617.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsMissed34%Hangar oddsEarned