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Red60
540939.1
687514.7
63978.6
Blue136
368336.2
111444.4
490738.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49133010015060136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.1
36.736.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.4
End7.8
blue by 5.3
44.40.9
45.045.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.6
End8.8
Second
6875
#59
14.70.1
11.411.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.2
End4.2
blue by 23.8
38.40.9
35.536.5
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Third
6397
#60
8.60.1
8.88.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End2.0
blue by 27.6
3683
#15
36.20.9
33.334.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned