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Red64
130520.9
490325.2
790215.6
Blue51
13348.8
401515.2
136018.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663502060801001206451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#44
25.20.4
25.425.0
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End12.8
red by 7.2
1360
#39
18.00.9
16.217.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Second
1305
#48
20.90.4
16.816.4
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.0
red by 5.7
4015
#50
15.20.9
13.013.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.4
End3.8
Third
7902
#29
15.60.4
16.215.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
red by 6.8
1334
#67
8.80.9
8.08.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed