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Red45
77579.4
697813.8
124145.3
Blue75
857411.8
205661.6
495115.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74770501001504575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
45.31.7
40.639.0
Auto14.6
Teleop27.0
End3.6
blue by 16.3
61.60.2
54.754.9
Auto17.2
Teleop32.5
End11.9
Second
6978
#58
13.81.7
16.114.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End3.5
blue by 1.8
4951
#25
15.50.3
7.78.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End4.9
Third
7757
#47
9.41.7
13.311.7
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
blue by 2.4
8574
#28
11.80.2
9.69.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned