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Red109
124145.3
238618.0
368336.2
Blue80
260931.0
132541.4
415223.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10396608012014016010980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
45.30.6
44.244.9
Auto14.6
Teleop27.0
End3.6
red by 3.9
1325
#13
41.40.8
41.540.8
Auto11.9
Teleop17.5
End11.9
Second
3683
#15
36.20.6
34.234.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
red by 5.3
2609
#33
31.00.8
29.028.2
Auto9.0
Teleop10.7
End11.3
Third
2386
#21
18.00.6
17.017.6
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
blue by 5.1
4152
#36
23.20.8
20.820.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned