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Red60
88509.7
220042.4
316112.0
Blue90
491731.9
75206.9
447641.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68790501001506090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2200
#12
42.40.6
42.842.1
Auto9.4
Teleop20.3
End12.7
red by 1.1
4476
#14
41.21.1
39.740.8
Auto12.0
Teleop21.4
End7.8
Second
3161
#49
12.00.6
10.910.3
Auto3.8
Teleop2.0
End6.3
blue by 19.9
4917
#18
31.91.1
28.129.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.4
End12.6
Third
8850
#54
9.70.6
12.011.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End3.2
red by 2.8
7520
#30
6.91.1
5.26.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned