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Red57
356021.5
490325.2
77579.4
Blue85
78119.9
238618.0
748032.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472204060801001205785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#44
25.20.3
25.025.2
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End12.8
blue by 7.1
32.40.8
31.732.5
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End4.4
Second
3560
#46DQ
21.50.3
18.719.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End4.2
red by 1.5
781
#6
19.90.8
15.816.6
Auto7.3
Teleop6.7
End5.9
Third
7757
#47
9.40.3
9.49.7
Auto4.6
Teleop-0.2
End5.0
blue by 8.6
2386
#21
18.00.8
17.618.4
Auto6.2
Teleop3.3
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
72%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsEarned