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Red134
368336.2
467844.1
61025.2
Blue92
490738.4
540643.6
260931.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121265010015020013492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.10.4
44.745.1
Auto14.6
Teleop19.3
End10.2
red by 0.6
43.60.6
44.744.1
Auto12.7
Teleop19.7
End11.2
Second
3683
#15
36.20.4
36.737.2
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End7.3
blue by 2.2
38.40.6
39.639.0
Auto8.8
Teleop20.1
End9.6
Third
610
#38
25.20.4
25.726.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End5.1
blue by 5.7
2609
#33
31.00.6
32.131.5
Auto9.0
Teleop10.7
End11.3