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Red88
467844.2
368341.2
99985.5
Blue121
403944.6
540646.1
13348.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971052040608012014016088121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.4
44.844.4
Auto14.1
Teleop19.9
End10.3
blue by 1.9
46.10.5
45.445.9
Auto13.7
Teleop22.2
End10.2
Second
41.20.4
41.741.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.0
blue by 3.4
44.60.5
43.944.4
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Third
9998
#18
5.50.4
6.15.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End-0.7
blue by 3.0
1334
#23
8.60.5
7.98.4
Auto5.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1