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Red48
999013.9
99974.5
368341.2
Blue12
99998.1
99916.5
99939.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7418040601001201404812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.9
41.740.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.6
End8.0
red by 32.2
9993
#21
9.01.6
7.25.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Second
9990
#16
13.91.4
13.211.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.4
red by 5.8
9999
#12
8.11.5
7.86.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
9997
#22
4.51.5
2.91.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End-0.7
blue by 2.0
9991
#19
6.51.6
11.49.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsMissed3%Hangar oddsMissed