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Red16
99916.5
872912.4
999013.9
Blue38
99998.1
790214.7
99928.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27271520253035401638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
#16
13.91.7
11.710.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End3.4
blue by 0.9
7902
#11
14.70.2
10.210.5
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Second
8729
#13
12.41.2
12.010.8
Auto7.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 3.9
9992
#14
8.40.4
9.910.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End-0.4
Third
9991
#19
6.51.8
9.88.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.4
End2.8
blue by 1.6
9999
#12
8.10.3
6.46.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
3%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed