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Red14
99974.5
13348.6
808921.3
Blue67
99928.4
999622.6
503232.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060701467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.5
16.114.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.5
End6.1
blue by 11.5
32.80.1
31.331.4
Auto10.0
Teleop21.4
End1.5
Second
1334
#23
8.61.5
8.87.3
Auto5.6
Teleop2.9
End0.1
blue by 14.0
22.60.1
14.915.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End1.5
Third
9997
#22
4.52.5
11.59.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End-0.7
blue by 3.9
9992
#14
8.40.1
11.511.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed6%Hangar oddsMissed