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Red86
124135.0
132547.2
99962.4
Blue77
491726.8
888419.8
999410.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1014901502008677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.0
46.846.8
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
red by 20.4
26.80.5
25.926.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End11.7
Second
35.00.0
34.634.6
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
red by 15.3
19.80.5
18.919.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Third
9996
#18
2.40.0
1.81.8
Auto0.1
Teleop1.3
End0.8
blue by 8.2
9994
#21
10.60.7
9.410.1
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6