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Red24
260931.8
13346.8
999711.1
Blue23
99994.5
999410.6
99908.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49120204060801002423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.4
30.228.8
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End12.1
red by 21.2
9994
#21
10.61.2
5.64.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6
Second
9997
#17
11.12.3
6.64.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.6
End2.9
red by 2.5
8.51.2
9.48.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End3.5
Third
1334
#11
6.81.4
8.36.9
Auto5.2
Teleop1.6
End0.1
red by 2.2
9999
#19
4.51.2
10.59.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed