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Red41
37396.4
613515.4
13747.3
Blue26
99994.5
260931.8
99962.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28530204060801001204126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#15
15.40.2
19.419.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
blue by 16.4
31.81.2
28.827.6
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End12.1
Second
1374
#10
7.30.2
5.15.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End2.9
red by 2.7
9999
#19
4.52.0
9.47.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End0.1
Third
3739
#12
6.40.2
5.86.0
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.5
red by 4.0
9996
#18
2.42.0
5.53.5
Auto0.1
Teleop1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsMissed