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Qual 162022 Overtime
Red103
490741.7
888419.8
613515.4
Blue59
99908.5
260931.8
37396.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80370206010012014010359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#2
41.71.0
37.3→38.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
red by 9.9
2609
#3
31.81.1
27.6→28.7
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End12.1
Second
8884
#5
19.81.0
12.2→13.1
Auto6.9
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 11.2
9990
#8
8.51.9
8.5→10.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End3.5
Third
6135
#15
15.41.0
19.6→20.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 9.0
3739
#12
6.41.1
6.0→7.1
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned