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Red49
999410.6
491726.8
99988.7
Blue14
613515.4
99994.5
201312.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384001020305060704914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.0
22.623.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End11.7
red by 11.4
6135
#15
15.41.9
20.618.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Second
9994
#21
10.61.6
4.35.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6
blue by 1.8
2013
#13
12.41.9
15.213.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End5.3
Third
9998
#14
8.71.6
3.85.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End3.1
red by 4.1
9999
#19
4.53.2
6.83.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned8%Hangar oddsMissed