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Red26
999410.6
37396.4
999215.9
Blue22
201312.4
13346.8
13747.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2827102040502622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.0
14.314.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.1
red by 3.5
2013
#13
12.40.6
13.112.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End5.3
Second
9994
#21
10.60.0
6.76.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 3.4
1374
#10
7.30.6
6.76.1
Auto3.9
Teleop0.6
End2.9
Third
3739
#12
6.40.0
5.25.2
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.5
blue by 0.4
1334
#11
6.80.6
7.77.0
Auto5.2
Teleop1.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed8%Hangar oddsMissed