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Red41
37396.4
99962.4
99959.0
Blue73
491726.8
999215.9
260931.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1683040601001201401604173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.01.7
10.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End3.5
blue by 22.8
31.80.2
30.930.7
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End12.1
Second
3739
#12
6.41.2
5.26.3
Auto3.3
Teleop-0.3
End3.5
blue by 20.5
26.80.2
24.424.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End11.7
Third
9996
#18
2.41.7
3.95.6
Auto0.1
Teleop1.3
End0.8
blue by 13.5
15.90.2
16.115.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
2%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned