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Red82
490741.7
998910.5
406923.8
Blue77
368337.3
999822.4
467836.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71980501508277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.1
41.741.6
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
red by 4.4
37.32.2
37.339.6
Auto8.4
Teleop21.3
End7.6
Second
4069
#10
23.81.0
23.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
blue by 12.5
4678
#14
36.36.3
36.342.6
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End8.9
Third
9989
#24
10.54.4
10.514.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 11.9
9998
#13
22.49.6
22.412.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned