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Qual 122022 STEMley Cup
Red114
998510.9
316110.1
132547.2
Blue107
490741.7
999226.2
467836.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591080150200114107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#2
47.22.3
41.2→43.5
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
red by 5.5
4907
#6
41.70.2
41.2→41.4
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Second
9985
#22
10.93.8
8.5→12.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 25.4
4678
#14
36.30.2
39.7→40.0
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End8.9
Third
3161
#17
10.12.3
10.9→13.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
blue by 16.1
9992
#9
26.20.4
22.4→22.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned