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Red8
99999.7
406923.8
86512.0
Blue74
490741.7
301539.2
316110.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34117050100150200874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#10
23.83.1
24.121.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
blue by 17.9
41.71.7
41.940.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.9
End11.3
Second
865
#20
12.03.1
15.812.7
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.0
blue by 27.1
3015
#11
39.21.7
43.141.3
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
Third
9999
#23
9.75.2
15.210.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
blue by 0.4
3161
#17
10.11.7
11.39.6
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed95%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed93%Hangar oddsEarned