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Qual 292022 STEMley Cup
Red80
999822.4
447639.8
136011.7
Blue79
998910.5
467836.3
748033.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609102040801001201401608079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#3
39.80.3
41.7→42.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 3.5
4678
#14
36.31.5
42.6→41.2
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End8.9
Second
9998
#13
22.40.6
13.2→13.8
Auto8.7
Teleop9.4
End4.6
blue by 11.0
7480
#12
33.41.5
32.8→31.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.2
End3.2
Third
1360
#18
11.70.3
16.0→16.3
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 1.2
9989
#24
10.52.5
13.7→11.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed