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Red115
316110.1
495113.7
205662.4
Blue110
301539.2
368337.3
124135.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7714150100150200115110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.4
56.958.3
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
red by 23.2
3015
#11
39.21.5
39.938.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
Second
13.71.4
12.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 23.7
37.31.5
37.636.2
Auto8.4
Teleop21.3
End7.6
Third
3161
#17
10.11.4
9.510.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
blue by 25.0
35.01.5
44.643.1
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
75%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned