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Qual 332022 STEMley Cup
Red47
406923.8
998510.9
447639.8
Blue7
99999.7
998910.5
136011.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612050150200477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#3
39.82.9
42.0→39.2
Auto11.5
Teleop21.5
End6.7
red by 28.1
1360
#18
11.72.0
15.7→13.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Second
4069
#10
23.82.9
23.6→20.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
red by 13.3
9989
#24
10.53.3
11.0→7.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
Third
9985
#22
10.94.8
12.3→7.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 1.2
9999
#23
9.73.3
10.1→6.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsMissed2%Hangar oddsMissed