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Red82
75209.1
467836.3
61025.2
Blue89
301539.2
495113.7
86512.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857102040601001201408289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#14
36.30.1
40.040.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.8
End8.9
blue by 2.9
3015
#11
39.20.1
38.338.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.0
End11.5
Second
610
#15
25.20.1
26.026.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.0
End5.0
red by 11.5
13.70.1
13.914.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Third
7520
#16
9.10.1
8.38.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.6
End2.3
blue by 2.9
865
#20
12.00.1
13.313.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsMissed