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Red70
136011.7
124135.0
316110.1
Blue121
447639.8
132547.2
99999.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7389020406010012014016070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
45.645.5
Auto14.3
Teleop18.5
End2.3
blue by 12.2
47.20.7
40.541.2
Auto13.2
Teleop23.1
End11.0
Second
1360
#18
11.70.1
16.116.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End2.3
blue by 28.1
39.80.7
41.041.7
Auto11.5
Teleop21.5
End6.7
Third
3161
#17
10.10.1
9.69.5
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End6.3
red by 0.4
9999
#23
9.71.2
10.011.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsMissed80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned