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Red42
495113.7
434317.9
998910.5
Blue130
205662.4
111441.6
406923.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1814805010020042130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#21
17.90.2
16.816.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 44.5
62.40.4
56.656.9
Auto17.3
Teleop33.9
End11.0
Second
13.70.2
12.612.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 27.9
41.60.4
42.843.2
Auto11.3
Teleop23.1
End7.2
Third
9989
#24
10.50.3
11.311.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.4
End1.6
blue by 13.3
4069
#10
23.80.4
21.021.4
Auto6.7
Teleop8.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned