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Red89
273314.6
404310.9
247138.0
Blue71
683123.5
371112.6
252120.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695902040801001201408971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.0
38.038.0
Auto8.8
Teleop20.7
End8.6
red by 14.5
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End5.2
Second
14.60.0
14.614.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.4
End7.5
blue by 6.2
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End7.2
Third
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.8
Teleop2.9
End4.3
blue by 1.7
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto4.2
Teleop0.8
End7.5